Sunday, June 16, 2013

Hot issues including the Nile River saga


by Robele Ababya
Tribute to the Blue Party
The heroic decision by the Blue Party in planning, organizing and brilliantly implementing the demonstration of 25 May 2013 was a phenomenal act of courage to which all freedom loving Ethiopians should pay tribute regardless of their affiliation to entities in the opposition camps or civic organizations. To this end MJFD (Ginbot 7) had set an excellent example under its editorial title: “ወያኔ የፈጠረዉ የፍርሀት ድባብ ሲሰበር” dated 06 June 2013.
The holy act of courage of the leaders of the Party and the hundreds of thousands of participants that took part in the inspiring demonstration has torn down the dark curtain of despair ushering in a beacon of hope and reaffirmation that individuals united in action are in the final analysis masters of their common desire to live in freedom, dignity, and prosperity in a truly democratic and compassionate society governed by the rule of law of their own making.
The demonstration has been an epic success story heralding the inevitable victory of the Ethiopian people and the vanishing of ethnicity-based political entities that are lagging behind with empty promises to change into a national stature by shedding off their tribal garb. The demonstration is a grand topic of the moment.
Legacy of Zenawi
The late tyrant Meles Zenawi left behind a series of time bombs ready to explode and destabilize the region to the utter disadvantage of Ethiopia which has no credible ally except the almighty God and her people as I always say. The decision by the communist TPLF warlords and their puppet Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn to implement the legacy intact is solid proof that draconian problems are waiting to be overcome.
All the incendiaries are in place to ignite and unleash havoc to regional stability, inter alia: gross violations of human rights of citizens contrary to UN Declaration on Human Rights and the TPLF constitution; divisive ethnic policy; balkanization into nine ethnic-based federal states; Endemic corruption perpetrated by top TPLF warlords still untouched; give-away of fertile Ethiopian land (Emperor Theodros II has graphically illustrated that a spec of our fertile soil is vital to our national security); the Renaissance Dam: extensive and in-depth cost-benefit analysis including national and regional security; irrigation to grow food is priority for Ethiopia ; the ongoing Badme saga
All of the above and many other atrocious legacies of Zenawi have been debated upon sufficiently by several scholars and activists before. Therefore, I would like to expound briefly just on the above listed incendiaries, which signal the advent of diplomatic war leading to military engagements on a scale unfavorable to Ethiopia and her environ.
Items 1, 2, 3, and 4 signify internal weaknesses that would embolden extremist separatist movements (like OLF-old) and external enemies pursuing their objectives vigorously, the former seeking: (a) symbiotic advantage in the success of foreign enemies or (b) engaging in acts of sabotage harmful to Ethiopia; and the latter as always promoting the fragmentation of motherland Ethiopia into several innocuous units to its hold on power.
Items 5 and 6 are hot issues pitching Ethiopia against Egypt and Eritrea.
Contribution to the thorny debate over the Blue Nile River
God created the Nile River before Adam and Eve. Therefore it is not the fault of the past and present generations of Ethiopians and Egyptians to find themselves at the source and receiving ends of the River, respectively.
It is needless to mention that it took centuries to realize the scarcity of waters of the River. The Imperialist inspired treaties of the 1929 and 1959 that contemptuously disregarded Ethiopia allocated a lion’s portion of the waters of the River to the Sudan and Egypt. Therefore, Ethiopia has every right to declare the above said past treaties, to which she was not a signatory party, as null and void in the strongest terms while calling for a new transparent and fair agreement. The secret Accord of the 1993 between Zenawi and Mubarak concluded behind the back of the Ethiopian people is also null and void.
The real overriding priority now for Ethiopians is to remove the TPLF warlords that have been misruling our beloved country as an occupying power for the last 22 years. It is nonsense to brainwash our youth and deploy them into a war of mutual destruction with Egypt. Sensational slogans by extremist Egyptian leaders such as paying by ‘blood’ for a cup of the Nile water or the genocidal TPLF warlords insisting on construction of the RD with our ‘blood’ are cruel and laughable. Sabre rattling on both sides is a cover-up for their internal failures in good governance, which must be replaced by genuine democratic dispensation conducive to strategic cooperation.Contribution to the thorny debate over the Blue Nile River
I had written before that “The Blue Nile River is a natural bond of indispensable significance to Egypt and Sudan. Ibrahim Nasreddin of Cairo University’s Institute for African Studies said that “a 20-year-old feasibility study, a cooperative venture between some of the Nile’s source countries and donor states, to build 50 dams on the River Nile over 50 years has not seen any headway due to the high cost of these dams”. He added that “the projects would cost in excess of $40 billion. According to Nasredin, “none of the African states can afford this. They won’t be able to repay loans of such an amount.” Source: Article by Reem Leila, Al-Ahram Weekly January 5, 2011.” The present site of the RD with its site size reduced can be one of the networks of dams that could be built along the Blue Nile rivers and its tributaries in the Amhara and Oromia regions, as I had argued in my previous articles.
The Egyptian people and scholars should know that the Nile River would be insignificant without its tributaries from the Amhara and Oromia regions, which are in dire need for irrigation and electric power generation. In the interest of strategic cooperation in the development of the Nile Basin, democratic citizens of Egypt should be on the side of Ethiopians bent on changing the regime which has lost trust of the masses. And the Ethiopian people should do likewise in reciprocity. In this way costly war between two countries mostly victimizing the youth can be avoided.

UDJ urges Ethiopia and Egypt to cease bellicosity


ESAT News 
The Ethiopian opposition political party, Unity for Democracy and Justice (UDJ), has released a press release titled “A Party committed to use everything for political consumption, endangers a country’s sovereignty”. The Party’s presser urged Ethiopia and Egypt to cease making bellicose statements, stop spreading propaganda that could harm the people to people relations of the two countries and work for a diplomatic relation and focus on round table discussions.
The Ethiopian opposition political party, Unity for Democracy and Justice (UDJ)UDJ said Ethiopia has a natural right to use Abay River. It added both countries should stop using the Dam and the river as a means of calming down internal political tensions. It also called for the immediate start of a “national consensus”. UDJ also accused the Ethiopian government of using the damming of the River for political propaganda. The Party said, the government did not do enough diplomatic preparation before starting the Dam on Abay River, failed to conduct enough and reliable discussions and agreements with the Nile riparian countries and the government didn’t make enough military preparation to defend the Country if it was faced with a military aggression.
UDJ blamed the ruling party, EPRDF, for repressing the people in the name of development, labeling politicians and journalists as “terrorists”, interfering in religious affairs and in such a critical time, for failing to talk with local opposition parties that have national agendas.
The Party asks how this big project could succeed without a national understanding. It said, while the Egyptian President speaks together with the opposition and Sudan releases political prisoners, the Ethiopian government endangered the national consensus by stubbornly continuing to arrest and label citizens.
On the other hand, Bereket Simon, Minister of the Government Communication Affairs Office, said the government was not using the Dam project for political purposes and also refuted the accusations that EPRDF was making the Dam “its private property”.
Bereket said that his government does not believe Egypt will resort to war but thinks that it may attempt to arm Ethiopian oppositions, use its intelligence and cause local havoc and insecurity. He also admitted that there was “no military preparation” if the bellicosity developed into war.
Meanwhile, the Ethiopian House of People’s Representative unanimously ratified the Nile Cooperative Framework Agreement (CFA) on June 13th, 2013. Egypt, Democratic Congo and the Sudan did not sign the Cooperative Framework Agreement (CFA) led by the Nile Basin Initiative, but six other riparian countries have signed and are enacting it in their respective parliaments.
The ratification of the Agreement by the Ethiopian parliament is feared to intensify the tension with Egypt further.

ENTC finalizes preparations for the July consultative conference


NEWS RELEASE
ENTC finalizes preparations for the July consultative conference on removing the dictatorship in Ethiopia and replacing it with a transitional government
Ethiopian National Transitional CouncilThe Ethiopian National Transitional Council (ENTC) is finalizing preparations for the upcoming all-inclusive consultative conference on removing and replacing the dictatorship in Ethiopia. The conference, which is called to discuss various ideas on how to transition Ethiopia to democracy, will be held on July 2 and 3, in Washington DC. ENTC will also hold its own general assembly on July 4 and 5.
Delegates from ENTC chapters, representatives from various organizations, invited guests and registered participants will start arriving for the conference on July 1st. (Participation on the conference is by registration and invitation only). Stake holders representing across-section of the Ethiopian people will participate in this important conference and present their ideas on how to form an all-inclusive transitional government after removing the brutal dictatorship in Ethiopia.
ENTC was established in July 2012 with the primary objective of facilitating the formation of a transitional government. Since then, it has been actively organizing its chapters inside Ethiopia and around the world, as well as discussing with the public and organizations about the need for forming a transitional government. ENTC has also been spreading its message inside Ethiopia. ENTC members are currently distributing pamphlets and posters in Ethiopian cities.
Unity is power!
ENTC leadership