Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Ethiopia: Nothing will stop Nile Dam project

By Kirubeal Tadesse, Associated Press    
ADDIS ABABA, Ethiopia (AP) -- Ethiopia's leader has vowed that no one will stop a $4.2 billion energy project that is diverting the flow of the Nile River after Egypt's president warned that all options were being considered to halt the dam.                 
In an interview aired on state television and radio, Ethiopian Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn said Tuesday that he did not think Egypt would start a war over the vital river.
"'All options' include a war. I don't think they will take that option unless they go mad," Hailemariam said during the interview. "I urge them to abandon such an unhelpful approach and return to dialogue and discussion."
Ethiopia started diverting the flow of the Nile River in late May to make way for its $4.2 billion hydroelectric plant, which will be Africa's largest. The project has been under construction for over two years on the Blue Nile River in Ethiopia's Benishangul-Gumuz region near the Sudan border.
Egypt fears that the project will mean a diminished share of the Nile River.
Egyptian political leaders last week told President Mohammed Morsi to consider hostile acts against Ethiopia. Apparently unaware their discussion was being televised live, the leaders recommended spreading rumors, aiding rebels and even sabotaging the dam itself in a meeting with Morsi.
During the meeting, Morsi said that Egypt will not engage in any aggressive acts against Ethiopia. However, he hardened his stance on Monday, warning that "all options are open."
Hailemariam then accused Egyptian leaders of using the dam issue to divert attention away from local issues. He said it was wrong of Egyptian politicians to use the Nile dam as "a distraction to escape the strong domestic opposition they are facing."
A 10-person Egypt-Sudan-Ethiopia experts' panel has concluded that the dam will not significantly affect water flow to both Egypt and Sudan, Hailemariam explained.
The finding of the experts' panel, which includes four international experts, was fully accepted by Sudan, Hailemariam said.
"I like to thank the government and people of Sudan for their support and determination to work for mutual benefit. Others should learn from this," he added.
In a further escalation of the conflict, the Ethiopian foreign affairs ministry in a statement issued Tuesday condemned the "belligerent rhetoric" coming from Cairo. The ministry said Ethiopia "will not even for a second" stop the construction of the dam due to Cairo's rhetoric.
Ethiopia is currently leading a group of nine countries that signed the new Cooperative Framework Agreement for the Nile. The new agreement replaces colonial-era deals that awarded Cairo veto powers over projects on the Nile.
Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda signed the agreement in 2010, and Burundi did so a year later. Sudan and Egypt have been strongly opposed to the deal.
Ethiopian parliament since April is reviewing the deal. It is expected to approve it in few days' time.

Zigzag Diplomacy: Ethiopian-Qatari Diplomatic Relations and their Implications June 12, 2013


by Aklog Birara, PhD*
Ethnic-federalism (the kilil system) is an instrument of disenfranchisementGiven its ideal geopolitical location, Ethiopia’s trade, economic, cultural and diplomatic ties to North Africa, the Mediterranean, the Middle East and South Asia and beyond predate Egyptian civilization. Ethiopia is the only country in Africa that has had very close links and interactions to all of the world’s major Abrahamic religions, namely, Christianity, Islam and Judaism. It is not only this that makes the country unique. Ethiopia is the country of the First Hijra in the history of Islam and the oldest Muslim settlement in Africa. This did not happen through invasion or forcible occupation. It occurred at the request of the Prophet Mohamed and at the willingness and welcoming of the Christian Ethiopian Emperor a t the time. What is remarkable is that the historic tie between the Arab and Islamic world on the one hand and Ethiopia on the other was cemented by a Christian, peaceful, relatively stable and unified Ethiopia that was gracious and kind enough to cheerfully give refugee to the family of the Prophet Mohamed and his followers. History tells us that, in 615 AD, when faced with persecutions, the Prophet “instructed his followers to flee Mecca and cross the Red Sea and find a safe haven in the neighboring Ethiopian Christian Kingdom.” As a consequence, Ethiopia’s relations with the Arab world in general and with Islam in particular can be characterized as relatively unique and full of promise. Equally remarkable and noteworthy is the fact that, at the time, Ethiopia had access to and influence in the Red Sea, a fact that was subsequently rejected by some Arab governments. Nevertheless, this promise in relations between Ethiopia and the Arab and Islamic world assumes recognition of national interests, sovereignty and territorial integrity and the unique cultural, social, political, economic, security and other attributes that characterize countries regardless of their level of development, ideological tendencies and religions. What matters most is the world that is unfolding in front of us.
Except for a five year interlude emanating from Italian Fascist aggression and occupation that interrupted its remarkable history of continuity, Ethiopia is the only continuously independent country in Africa and, arguably, the origin of humankind and one of the oldest civilizations in the world. It is also a mosaic of varied ethnic groups and home to three major religions: Christianity, Islam and Judaism. A substantial Jewish population who resided in the Ethiopian highlands for thousands of years was resettled in Israel in the 1980s. Its cultural imprints persist. In their 2012 book, Abyssinian Christianity: the first Christian Nation, Mario Alexis Portella and Abba Abraham Buruk Woldegaber, present a powerful and profound argument that “Ethiopia was the first Christian Nation,” with the Ethiopian Orthodox faith decreed as a state religion in 218 AD, almost four hundred years before the country welcomed and hosted followers of the Prophet Mohamed, in 615 AD. World history is replete with references to Ethiopia. Nowhere else is this more pronounced than in the Bible in which Ethiopia is mentioned more than 40 times? The country’s special relationship with the Arab World and Islam and with Israel is, in part, linked to its strategic geopolitical position in the Horn of Africa and at the heart of the Blue Nile or Abbay River. Ethiopia’s identity and history is linked to its rivers and waterways.
Ethiopia Today
Ethiopia is not part of North Africa or the Middle East. However, its trade, economic, cultural and historical linkages and interactions have been primarily with North Africa, especially Egypt and the Sudan, the Middle East, especially Israel, Palestine, Yemen, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf Region and South Asia, especially India. Its faith has consistently been monotheism reinforcing its links to the world’s Abrahamic faiths and to the Old Testament. In referring to Ethiopia over and over again, the scriptures, Romans, Greeks and others mention to the notion that “the Garden of Eden” may be in the vicinity of the Ethiopian Highlands and its river basins. This may or may not be the case. What is important to note is the contention that is now backed by archaeological findings in the Danakil Depression of Ethiopia that Ethiopia is among the world’s hub in the creation and evolution of humankind and of world civilization. I refer to the discovery of Lucy or what Ethiopians call Dinknesh. This augments the argument that Ethiopia is indeed one of the oldest civilizations in the world. Why is this so significant in terms of diplomatic relations with Qatar and other Arab and Islamic nations? From time immemorial, Ethiopia’s relations with the outside world have been governed and guided by its access to the Red Sea; its legitimacy and right in the use of its rivers and water basins; its unique history, culture and identity as an independent and sovereign nation; its determination to grow its national economy and join the family of developed nations; and its current resolve to defeat “terrorism” in the Horn of Africa. These national interests require cultivating relations with a variety of nations that may not necessarily be ideologically and culturally compatible. Ethiopia and Ethiopians have always fought for legitimacy and acceptance; and this will persist for ages.
Historically, the domain that is Ethiopia extended far beyond the Red Sea, and during the reign of Emperor Haile Selassie, Ethiopia’s internationally recognized geopolitical space or sovereignty extended from the Northern tip of present day Eritrea on the Red Sea to the town of Moyale on the Kenyan border and to areas adjacent to today’s Southern Sudan and the traditional boundary with Northern Sudan. Accordingly, Ethiopia had access to the sea; it had a relatively sophisticated navy and Assab served as the primary seaport for Ethiopian trade with the outside world. Today, Ethiopia is one of the largest landlocked countries in the world. This is one of the areas of diplomatic uneasiness between Ethiopia on the one hand and the Arab world on the other. The fact that Ethiopia had served as safe haven for the “family and followers of the Prophet” has not necessarily served Ethiopia well, many Ethiopian experts so argue. Egyptian, Syrian, Iraqi and other Arab governments supported secessionists including Eritreans and this has a lingering and adverse impact in Ethiopia’s relations with Arab nations.
Since the introduction of Islam in the seventh century, Ethiopia has served as a model of peaceful and mutually respectful home for Christians and Muslims. Similar to Christians, Ethiopian Muslims hail from all ethnic groups. They live and work in almost all corners of the country and share the distinctive attribute of belonging to Ethiopia as Ethiopians. It is this commonality of belonging to one country above and beyond religion that helped Ethiopians to defend themselves in unison against foreign aggression for more than 3,000 years. Many Ethiopian and foreign experts contend that it is this distinctiveness in the evolution of Christianity, Islam and Judaism as well as other cultures and values that offer Ethiopians their own unique national identity as people. I refer to the argument that the Christian, Judaic and Muslim faiths have evolved as distinct creations of Ethiopians and must retain their unique identities in the future.
Ethiopia continues to be a predominantly Christian country. According to the Ethiopian Government’s 2007 census, Christians account for 62.8 percent; Muslims for 33.9 percent; Animists for 2.6 percent and others for 0.7 percent of the Ethiopian population. Of the Christian population, 18.6 percent belong to the Protestant and 0.7 percent to the Catholic faiths and the rest to the Ethiopian Orthodox faith. The country is therefore diverse both in terms of faith and ethnicity. Ethiopians and other independent observers opine that the Arab and Muslim world is still uneasy in accepting Ethiopia as a predominantly Christian country, with a substantial Muslim population that is fairly well integrated into the fabric of Ethiopian society. This uneasiness creates mutual suspicion.
Ethiopian-Qatari diplomatic relations are, therefore, essentially, mirror-images in the long and uneasy relations and interactions among Arab nations on the one hand and Ethiopia on the other. By and large, these relations are shrouded in long-held and culturally embedded mistrusts, suspicions, intrigues, hidden agendas, competition and rivalries for influence, ambivalences and misgivings that predate Egyptian civilization under the Pharos.
Consequently, neither Ethiopia nor the Arab World has taken full advantage of the enormous potential for economic and trade links between and among countries that share geographical proximity, history, culture and complementarities that would benefit their respective societies in the long-term. The lag in realizing the full potential benefits that would accrue from mutually respectful diplomatic, economic, trade and other ties emanates from the respective evolutions of the two sides as distinct socioeconomic, political and cultural entities that seem antagonistic to one another and should not be. Ethiopia is one of the most ancient countries in the world with a distinct civilization of its own. It is the only independent black African country; and is, arguably, the first “Christian nation state” in the world. At the same time, Ethiopia is home to Christians (the majority faith in the country), Muslims (almost a third of the population according to the Ethiopian government’s 2007 census), Jews (most immigrated to Israel) and other faiths. Most experts agree that these faiths have evolved uniquely and distinctly as “Ethiopian” and have coexisted side by side peacefully for more than one thousand years. Ethiopia possesses a heterogeneous population of more than 80 ethnic groups with distinct languages, values, history and cultures. Arab countries are much more homogenous. These and other contrasts are critical to note and understand when one assesses relations between Ethiopia and other countries, including Qatar.
While Ethiopia’s geographical location in the Horn of Africa has provided it the geopolitical space to play a bridging role between Sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East and beyond, it is part of mainstream Africa. It is not and cannot be an Arab country. It is these historical realities that prompted successive Ethiopian governments to advance Pan-Africanism and the formation and evolution of the African Union, whose headquarter is in Addis Ababa. Until the secession of Eritrea, Ethiopia was a maritime country with access to the Red Sea. Today, it is one of the largest land-locked countries in the world. A significant area of challenge in the relations between Ethiopia and Qatar is the extent to which the later understands and appreciates Ethiopia’s long-term security and economic interests with regard to access to the sea. Although Qatar is geographically tiny, with an estimated 1.8 million people, its influence is enormous. It is a homogeneous, enormously rich Arab and Muslim country, with per capita income per annum of $88,000, one of the ten richest countries in the world (Forbes and IMF). In contrast, Ethiopia, one of the oldest civilizations in the world and the second most populous in Africa is, at the same time, one of the poorest on the planet, with a per capita income of $370 (the World Bank and IMF 2012 estimates). As the largest aid recipient in Africa, Ethiopia is capital poor; and Qatar investible financial capital rich, with a Sovereign Wealth Fund in excess of $200 billion per year. On the surface, there is a match between a capital starved Ethiopia and a capital rich Qatar that is determined to diversify its economic assets while expanding its influence and reach in Africa. However, this possible match between Ethiopia’s needs for capital and Qatar’s enormous financial wealth is insufficient to describe the warming up of relations between the two countries. It is vital to remember that the two countries broke diplomatic relations in 2008. Why did this happen? What changes occurred since?
Perceptions of Qatar’s Role in Foreign Affairs
Ethiopian scholars, general society and successive governments have been and continue to be suspicious of the Arab World, including Qatar. This is because of strong perceptions and evidence that they are “inimical” to Ethiopia’s national unity, territorial integrity, access to the sea, rapid growth and development and stability. There is a strong perception that Arab support to the Eritrean People’s Liberation Front (EPLF) led by Isaias Afewerki was instrumental in the secession of Eritrea and in the loss of Ethiopia’s legitimate and rightful access to its seaports, especially to Assab. This is one of the areas of contention that will persist regardless of diplomatic overtures. In this connection, the strong and close tie between the Qatari and Eritrean governments has been a source of concern among Ethiopian policy makers for several years. Rightly or wrongly, the question had persisted whether or not Qatar was using its substantial financial wealth to promote stability and peace in the Horn or whether its considerable monies and other support to the Eritrean government, opposition groups stationed in Eritrea as well as to fundamentalist groups in Somalia were intended to for the purpose of promoting instability in the region? Ethiopian and other African experts feel that the

A Truly Inspiring Political Step that Has to Be Taken Seriously


by T.Goshu, June 2013
Ethiopia powerful and legitimate demand
1. I want make myself clear that what I am trying to reflect in this piece of writing is just to express my impression about the peaceful demonstration which I strongly believe was and is a very big eye-opener after eight years of incredible level of fear and silence. I am also trying to forward my points of view on the question of how to keep the momentum not only moving forward but also a success story as far as a very challenging peaceful struggle being re-launched is concerned. The very purpose of mentioning the comment by truly concerned commentators, including a highly respected and qualified is to express my observation on the way they try to express the inspiring aspect of the event. It is not my intention either to engage in kind of good for nothing counter- argument or to invite unnecessary dialogue that may derail our focus on the issue of how we should keep the very encouraging political movement going towards the goal we desperately aspired. This said; let me proceed to my comment and points of view.
2. After relentless and patriotic effort made by a very young political party (Semayawi /Blue party) together with a relatively meaningful participation of other concerned opposition political parties and above all with very active participation of the people at large, the peaceful demonstration of June 2- 2013 has made the demand for a genuine democratic transformation very loud and clear .This deeply powerful and legitimate demand requires or deserves serious attention as well as highly responsible feedback from the ruling party and its branches of government. I strongly believe that the ruling party (TPLF/EPRDF) desperately needs to listen to the profoundly clear and self-evident demands of the people instead of attempting to stick with the same propaganda of intimidation and fictitious blackmail. Needless to say that there is a need to listen carefully and respond constructively to a very deep public discontent that has been echoed loudly and vehemently instead of muddling in the drama of politics as usual that has been tried for the last two decades and miserable failed. It is high time to take a deep breath and have a critical inward-looking (what went wrong within the ruling party and its branches of government), to think thoroughly how the political culture of ruling with horrible fear is the greatest enemy of not only democracy but also of the very essence of national feelings of citizens. This kind of dangerous trend must be reversed with a real sense of rational, critical and above all democratically inclusive engagement before it causes a serious damage to our priceless value, national pride. Yes, there is no doubt that the very heavy responsibility rests on the courage of the ruling party to try hard to get out of a very messy political behavior and practice and pave the way for a truly patriotic and visionary political leadership. Jason Stearns, the author of the book, Dancing in the Glory of Monsters (2011) which deals with the recent tragic politics in the DRC ( the Democratic Republic of Congo) states the following to witness; “Perhaps the most nagging , persistent problem I have witnessed while researching and writing this book has been the lack of visionary, civic-minded leadership.” Well, I am not arguing that the situations in our country and that of the DRC are exactly the same. But I strongly argue that there is no doubt that the severe lack of genuinely concerned and truly visionary leadership that has caused a very huge problem in the DRC and other African countries are very hard political fact in our country too. Will the ruling party be courageous enough to learn its lessons from multitude of terrible mistakes made by it and other dictatorial regimes of our continent and move forward accordingly? Will it (the ruling party) be willing and able to stop its upside down definition of popular victory and put it upright, and play its constructive part? I think it is appropriate to quote Louis Fischer (Gandhi and His Life and Message for the World, 1954) in which he says the following about Gandhi: “VICTORY IS TO HIM WHO IS READY TO PAY THE PRICE.” Yes, those members of the inner circle of TPLF/EPRDF desperately need to be ready to recognize and accept the very demands of the people, the right to decide their fate with full exercise of their political and civil rights as true victory that comes through paying the necessary price.
3. The organizing party (Semayawi) and all other genuinely concerned opposition political parties, civil rights advocates and above all the people at large truly deserve great appreciation for making the event successful in relative terms. As wisely stated in a statement released by Semayawi Party in response to ridiculous and irresponsible comments by some officials of the ruling party, those members of the police force who appropriately discharged their duty during the four hour peaceful demonstration deserve due appreciation . The Ethiopian people are cautiously hopeful that this very desirable way of behaving and acting will continue and become part and parcel of the peaceful struggle for the realization of a democratic system in our country. It has to repeatedly be underlined that the very responsibility and duty of the law enforcement body is to enforce laws and regulations that have a lot to do with safeguarding national security and the well-being and rights of the people. It has to be stressed now and then that being instrumental in advancing the ugly if not bloody political